Will Judge Merchan Dismiss Trump's Hush Money Case? Analyses & Options

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Donald Trump's legal battle over hush money payments to Stormy Daniels has drawn significant attention. The case's progression and potential outcomes are at the center of much debate.

Unraveling the Complexities of Trump's Hush Money Case

Barbara L. McQuade's Perspective

Regarding Judge Merchan's decision, it remains uncertain. However, the appropriate move would be to deny the motion to dismiss and uphold the jury's verdict. The conduct in question predated Trump's presidency and thus isn't protected by presidential immunity. During the trial, evidence showed a conversation between Trump and a staffer while in office, but it wasn't related to core presidential duties. This indicates that any presumption of immunity was overcome. Therefore, the 34-count guilty verdict should stand. Even if the court finds evidence protected by immunity, a new trial is the proper remedy rather than outright dismissal. The president's immunity during office is temporary, and the prosecution has the authority to decide whether to proceed in 2029. Judge Merchan could also assess a fine, which wouldn't prevent Trump from serving as president but would send a strong message about the rule of law.

There are complex legal considerations at play, and Judge Merchan's decision will have far-reaching implications.

Stuart Green's View

Since the start of the Trump hush money case, it's been said that we're in uncharted waters. Postponing sentencing indefinitely after Trump's reelection is the right move as it's not feasible for a president to fulfill their duties while in prison or on community service. But the rationale for dismissing the case entirely is less clear. Trump's lawyers will argue for dismissal as "a matter of justice," claiming he shouldn't face prison time. Prosecutors, on the other hand, insist that no one is above the law, and even delayed justice is better than none. Judge Merchan seems like a no-nonsense judge who will likely stay the case rather than dismiss it. Four years is a long time, and many things could happen, including a higher court dismissing the case. But it's unlikely that Merchan will be the one to do it.

The situation presents unique challenges and uncertainties.

Ronald J. Allen's Take

If Judge Merchan had been rational, he would have dismissed the case for multiple reasons. The specific facts of this case against Trump are novel, and the prosecution seems politically motivated. The prosecution is unseemly, and the convictions are likely to be reversed on appeal. A rational person would cut losses and end the case. However, Merchan doesn't seem rational as he demonstrated animosity towards Trump during the trial. If that's the case, he won't give up easily. There are important legal questions at stake, and the Supreme Court may ultimately weigh in on whether the evidence constitutes official acts.

The case is filled with legal intricacies and personal biases.

Asha Rangappa's Analysis

Judge Merchan is unlikely to dismiss the case as it hinges on two key legal questions. One is whether the trial evidence, such as Trump's conversations with his adviser, can be considered an "official act" and thus inadmissible. The other is whether any such evidence was a "harmless error" that didn't affect the jury's decision. Given the volume of evidence and the high bar for overturning a jury conviction, Merchan is likely to deem the few official act-related pieces of evidence as harmless error. Trump can appeal, and the Supreme Court may also get involved. Trump's status as president-elect doesn't change the legal questions at hand.

The legal landscape is complex and requires careful consideration.

Norman Eisen's Stand

The fact that Judge Merchan is moving forward with briefing on the president-elect's motion to dismiss indicates that he may not dismiss the case. There are two reasons for this. First, Trump's argument for immunity based on Trump v. US is incorrect. His 34 convictions stem from private acts that aren't covered by immunity. Judge Merchan has the chance to set an important precedent. Second, Trump's election doesn't mean he can't be sentenced. DOJ's policy against prosecuting a sitting president doesn't apply when the president-elect has already been convicted. Judge Merchan can sentence Trump like any other convicted criminal and even delay the sentence for four years.

The legal implications of Trump's situation are far-reaching.

Jessica A. Levinson's Insight

Judge Merchan is in an unprecedented situation. If he dismisses the case, it would likely be based on the Supreme Court's decision regarding presidential immunity for official acts, not private acts. There's a strong argument that the hush money case's basis is a private act. Trump's re-election doesn't provide grounds to dismiss the case after a jury verdict. It may make sense to postpone sentencing, but election alone isn't sufficient.

The legal nuances of this case are challenging and require careful examination.

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