International Equities Outperform US Counterparts: A Look Ahead to 2026

Instructions

International stock markets are currently experiencing a resurgence, signaling a notable shift in global investment trends. After years of lagging behind, the iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF (IDEV) has demonstrated superior performance compared to the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) this year, marking a significant change in the investment landscape. This renewed strength in international equities is driven by a combination of previously undervalued assets and a weakening US dollar, factors that are projected to sustain this upward trajectory.

A critical analysis of these two prominent ETFs reveals distinct opportunities and challenges. While IDEV, representing developed international markets, is positioned for continued growth due to favorable macro-economic conditions, investors should remain aware of potential currency-related risks inherent in global investments. Additionally, the differing sector allocations between IDEV and VOO present unique risk profiles that warrant careful consideration. These dynamics suggest a strategic advantage for international developed market funds in the near term.

As we approach 2026, the landscape appears promising for international equities. The sustained impact of low valuations and a declining US dollar are expected to further fuel the performance of funds like IDEV. This outlook suggests a strategic preference for IDEV, meriting a 'Buy' rating, while the US-focused VOO is recommended for a 'Hold' position. Investors are encouraged to consider the evolving global economic environment and its implications for diversified portfolios.

The current market environment offers a compelling opportunity for investors to re-evaluate their portfolios and consider the potential for growth in international markets. This shift not only highlights the cyclical nature of market performance but also underscores the importance of a diversified investment strategy. Embracing these global opportunities can lead to more robust and resilient investment outcomes, fostering a positive and forward-looking approach to wealth creation.

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